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Navigant Market Study

As part of the project, the Mackenzie Valley pipeline co-venturers commissioned the team of Navigant Consulting, Inc. (NCI) and Energy and Environmental Analysis, Inc. (EEA) (collectively, the NCI-EEA Team) to prepare an assessment of the long-term market need for natural gas produced from the Mackenzie Delta region. The NCI-EEA Team was also asked to investigate how adequate the existing intra-Alberta and export gas pipeline infrastructure was to receive and take away gas that would be delivered to Alberta by the Mackenzie Valley pipeline.

The Navigant Report presents the findings and conclusions of the gas demand, supply and infrastructure analysis prepared by the NCI-EEA Team. The analysis considered a base case and three sensitivity cases incorporating alternative assumptions concerning:

  • the initial capacity of the Mackenzie Valley pipeline
  • potential expansion of the pipeline’s capacity
  • alternative levels of gas demand in Canada and the United States
  • the potential start of pipeline operations to deliver Alaskan gas to markets in Canada and the United States

Taken together, the scenarios bracket the range of market conditions likely to exist during the first two decades of Mackenzie Valley pipeline operations. Analysis of the sensitivity case results confirms the study’s basic conclusions regarding the need for the incremental gas supplies transported by the Mackenzie Valley pipeline.

Table of Contents

MGP_Navigant_Market_Study_TOC
(152 KB PDF)

Executive Summary
1. Introduction and Organization
2. Base Case Analysis
3. Regional Market Analysis
4. Gas Supply and Deliverability Analysis
5. Intra-Alberta and Gas Pipeline Takeaway Infrastructure
6. Sensitivity Analysis
7. Conclusions

MGP_Navigant_Market_Study_Contents (1.9 MB PDF)

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